Your Picks - 2010 WFTDA Championship Bracket

Okay, so these are totally different than my picks from before. Ask me again tomorrow... LOL.

These tournaments NEVER pan out the way you think they are going to turn out. (Which is why I love this sport!)

I get it now! Smarter than the machine...smarter than the machine....

Gnosis - if you were a betting man, you could work out the spread for each bout and make a nice pile of change on the side. In fact, any enterprising individual could do this NOW.

That's how you'll know when derby's a "legitimate" sport - the odds makers in Vegas pay attention.

The power of the under dog!

I don't like the bracketing...I would love for the loser of the Championship game to get a crack at the winner of the Third Place game, to see who's really the second best. Just grumbling.....

From DNN or Dave Wood is some summaries on how many people are picking what. It looks like nearly everyone has Gotham, Rocky, Philly, and Oly in the semifinals. I've found 2 that don't do far and they seem... somewhat optimistic for their teams, and nothing's wrong with that.

I've been browsing through the brackets and noticed a lot more picks for Rocky than for Gotham, and I don't understand why the picks as disproportionate as the numbers seem to verify. As good as a team as Rocky is, I still think Gotham is the best team in the country, and I believe they'll win it all. At least for me, it seems everyone is giving too much weight to Rocky beating Oly, and is looking too much into how Gotham had a late collapse against Philly.

Yes, Rocky deserves full credit for beating Oly, but Oly found themselves in a position they've never been in before and they were up against a hostile crowd. If you put Oly vs. Rocky against each other again after that game, the result may not be the same. Is Rocky always going to find themselves up throughout the entire tournament? How do we know they're as good when playing from behind as they are as playing in a close game or holding the lead?

I think Gotham will beat Rocky in the (probable) semis. I see Gotham's penalty-heavy collapse at the end of the Philly/Gotham game as a fluke. Gotham was completely in control until they started getting in boo-coo penalty trouble, which is rare for how disciplined they are as a team. Do you seriously expect Gotham to make that mistake again, especially late in a game? You can't say that Gotham is inexperienced against "western" derby, either. They made a very rare west-coast appearance earlier this year, and we all know how that went. Also don't forget this is going to be Suzy Hotrod's last weekend with Gotham; she's not going to want to go out a loser. Also don't forget that Gotham's motivation to beat Rocky is that they would (likely) play Oly in the championship game on Sunday, the same Oly that knocked off Gotham in their first game in the champs last year.

Rocky is not going to have an automatic trip to finals. No team is, not even Oly on their side of the bracket. But you'd have to think that at least Rocky and Gotham have an equal chance to win it all. The numbers and the trends in picking Rocky over Gotham don't match up with that, though.

I hope all my picks are wrong and I'm totally surprised. I couldn't even start to think about actual scores.
This is going to be an epic weekend!! Yipeeeee!!!

Here here, Sukie. I love Val's voice! And, of course, she knows her shitz :) Love JFM too, I'm just sayin... the knowledgable female voice is super lovely.

Only about six people picked every bout's outcome correctly. OK, out of the people I know whose picks I decided to look at. Key bout that probably 90% got wrong was TXRG vs BAD Girls.

Given the overall predictability of so many of these bouts, I'm tending to think that I should have picked TXRG regardless of what I figured would happen. This was the one game in the first round that had the closest odds. The most likely one to wind up not happening as most people would predict. So picking this one would put you in the upper 10%. Yes, Saturday's bouts are worth more points, but if you only have one of the right teams going into that bout, where's that leave you? A loser.

Anyways, some of the improbable picks people made gave me a bit of a chuckle.

Being extremely bored at work I checked through the brackets of all the 4-pointers and found that only one, Mr. OSJ, had the same picks that I had, with Gotham beating Oly in the final. But he's the only one. So while I can't win it all at this point (I had BAD over Texas) I'm still confident that I'll be the best of the rest. I'm also pretty happy with my score picks at this point.

We'll know in about 6 hours whether or not people are overestimating Rocky's chances against Gotham. Regardless, that's going to be a fantastic game, so I'll be happy either way.

i cant believe how close some of my score picks are!